Swansea City 1-0 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Sep 2024

Swansea City
1-0 HT 1-0
Norwich City
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Swansea City vs Norwich City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.29
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.09
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
9%
4.49
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
9%
4.3
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City v Norwich City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.43/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.63
+2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.6 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Swansea City vs Norwich City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Norwich City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
477 Passes 348
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
22.04.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-3 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
10.12.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
05.02.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 2-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
07.11.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.03.2019 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL

Swansea City 1-0 Norwich City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
1-0
AWAY Norwich City
0.71 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 403
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 32
24 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City squeezed past Norwich City 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Swansea City had 46% of the ball to Norwich City's 54%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.71 to 1.13 — on chances, Norwich City could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Swansea City and 0.67 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Swansea City 1-0 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 45%, draw 28%, Norwich City 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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