Middlesbrough vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middlesbrough v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Preston North End
İNCL
4-0
HT 1-0
Preston North End
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
4-1
HT 2-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-0
Preston North End
İNCL
Middlesbrough 1-1 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough and Preston North End couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Middlesbrough had 55% of the ball to Preston North End's 45%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.64 to 0.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.67 for Preston North End.
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Preston North End?
Middlesbrough 1-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Preston North End?
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 54%, draw 23%, Preston North End 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.