Preston North End vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Preston North End v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Preston North End vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Preston North End
İNCL
4-0
HT 1-0
Preston North End
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
4-1
HT 2-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
Preston North End 2-1 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Preston North End squeezed past Middlesbrough 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Preston North End had 41% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 59%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.41 to 1.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Middlesbrough.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Preston North End and 2.00 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Preston North End vs Middlesbrough?
Preston North End 2-1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 31%, draw 25%, Middlesbrough 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.