Norwich City 5-1 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.9
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.15
X/1
11%
5.01
X/2
7%
7.26
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.21
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.62/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.47
+30% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.6 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Swansea City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.61
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
353 Passes 461
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
04.10.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
22.04.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-3 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
10.12.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
05.02.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 2-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
07.11.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
5-1
AWAY Swansea City
3.02 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
393 Passes 467
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
32 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City cruised past Swansea City 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Norwich City had 46% of the ball to Swansea City's 54%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 3.02 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Norwich City and 1.33 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Swansea City?

Norwich City 5-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 46%, draw 26%, Swansea City 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Under 2.5
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