Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Seattle Sounders v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Seattle Sounders 4-2 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders beat Minnesota United 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Seattle Sounders had 59% of the ball to Minnesota United's 41%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.91 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.00 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United?
Seattle Sounders 4-2 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 60%, draw 21%, Minnesota United 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.