Fiorentina vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
Fiorentina 2-2 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina and Empoli couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Fiorentina had 60% of the ball to Empoli's 40%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.13 to 1.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fiorentina and 0.67 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Empoli?
Fiorentina 2-2 Empoli in the Italy - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 53%, draw 25%, Empoli 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.