Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.02
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
16%
6.6
X/2
13%
4.65
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.06
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.25/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.25
-7% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.3 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 1.41
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
238 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
23.10.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-2 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
19.02.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
21.08.2022 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
03.04.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
27.11.2021 Empoli Empoli 2-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
0-0
AWAY Fiorentina
0.36 xG 0.68
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
235 Passes 455
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Fiorentina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Empoli had 37% of the ball to Fiorentina's 63%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.36 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Empoli and 0.67 for Fiorentina.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Fiorentina?

Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Empoli 33%, draw 30%, Fiorentina 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fiorentina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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