Napoli 2-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 29 Sep 2024

Napoli
2-0 HT 2-0
Monza
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Napoli vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.2
X/1
17%
3.38
X/2
7%
16.75
X/X
12%
6.59
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
9%
14.0
2/X
6%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napoli v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 15%
-8% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.90/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.89
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
463 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
21.8 Crosses 11.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Napoli vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Monza
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.83 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
457 Passes 312
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Monza Monza 2-4 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
29.12.2023 Napoli Napoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
14.05.2023 Monza Monza 2-0 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
21.08.2022 Napoli Napoli 4-0 HT 2-0 Monza Monza İTA

Napoli 2-0 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2-0
AWAY Monza
1.17 xG 0.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
477 Passes 500
90% Pass Accuracy 91%
22 Box Touches 2
7 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli beat Monza 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Napoli had 49% of the ball to Monza's 51%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.17 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Napoli and 1.00 for Monza.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Monza?

Napoli 2-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Napoli 56%, draw 23%, Monza 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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