Como 3-2 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 29 Sep 2024

Como
3-2 HT 1-0
Hellas Verona
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Como vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.12
X/2
9%
8.15
X/X
18%
4.36
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
12%
6.55
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Como v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 27%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.20
-67% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
– Crosses 15.8
– Yellow Cards 2.8

Como vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
18.01.2004 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-0 HT 0-0 Como Como İTB

Como 3-2 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
3-2
AWAY Hellas Verona
2.25 xG 1.14
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
512 Passes 168
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Como vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como nicked a narrow win over Hellas Verona 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Como as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Como had 72% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 28%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.25 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Como vs Hellas Verona?

Como 3-2 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Como 43%, draw 30%, Hellas Verona 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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