Torino 2-3 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 29 Sep 2024

Torino
2-3 HT 0-1
Lazio
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.42
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
15%
6.0
X/2
8%
5.15
X/X
14%
3.88
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.55
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.31/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.29
+4% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.3 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lazio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
407 Passes 396
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2024 Torino Torino 0-2 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
27.09.2023 Lazio Lazio 2-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
22.04.2023 Lazio Lazio 0-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
20.08.2022 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
16.04.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
23.09.2021 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
2-3
AWAY Lazio
0.68 xG 2.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
409 Passes 276
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torino vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio squeezed past Torino 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Lazio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torino had 58% of the ball to Lazio's 42%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.68 to 2.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lazio's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Torino and 1.00 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Torino vs Lazio?

Torino 2-3 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torino 36%, draw 26%, Lazio 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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