Şili (K) 0-1 Uruguay (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Dec 2024

Şili (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Uruguay (K)
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Şili (K) vs Uruguay (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Şili (K) v Uruguay (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-57% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
401 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
27.8 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Şili (K) vs Uruguay (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Uruguay (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.09 xG 0.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
307 Passes 146
75% Pass Accuracy 58%
20 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.10.2019 Şili (K) Şili (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Uruguay (K) Uruguay (K) HAZ
06.10.2019 Şili (K) Şili (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay (K) Uruguay (K) HAZ
11.04.2018 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay (K) Uruguay (K) AKUK
POST-MATCH Şili (K) vs Uruguay (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay (K) nicked a narrow win over Şili (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Şili (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Şili (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Şili (K) and 0.33 for Uruguay (K).

What was the final score of Şili (K) vs Uruguay (K)?

Şili (K) 0-1 Uruguay (K) in the Friendlies on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili (K) vs Uruguay (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şili (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Şili (K) 41%, draw 26%, Uruguay (K) 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Şili (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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