Kızılyıldız 3-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-13.9pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.0pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.70/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.96
+40% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +6%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 68%
45.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
28.2 Crosses 11.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Backa Topola
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.32 xG 1.04
57% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
394 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
02.03.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-3 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
01.11.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-1 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
17.05.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-3 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRBK
22.04.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
07.03.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-2 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
3-1
AWAY Backa Topola
2.22 xG 2.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
287 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız beat Backa Topola 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 50% of the ball to Backa Topola's 50%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 2.22 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.83 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola?

Kızılyıldız 3-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 63%, draw 19%, Backa Topola 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5
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