04/12/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Difai vs Sumqayıt Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
15%
Draw
9%
72%
Away Win
85%
47%
BTTS Yes
28%
53%
BTTS No
72%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Difai v Sumqayıt — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Difai
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sumqayıt
EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
–
36%
Ball Possession
64%
6
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
5
190 · 65%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
491 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Difai vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sumqayıt got the better of Difai 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sumqayıt as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Difai vs Sumqayıt?
Difai 1-3 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Difai vs Sumqayıt?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Difai 13%, draw 15%, Sumqayıt 72%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sumqayıt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sumqayıt)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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AZERK
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