Qabala 2-1 Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 4 Dec 2025

Qabala
2-1 HT 1-1
Safa
📅04/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Safa EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qabala nicked a narrow win over Safa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Qabala as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Safa?

Qabala 2-1 Safa in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qabala win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Qabala 52%, draw 21%, Safa 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qabala), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qabala) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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