Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.1pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 56%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.77/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.12
+126% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
1-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice and Korona Kielce shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Korona Kielce at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Chojniczanka Chojnice had 51% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 49%, shots finished 17-15.

What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Korona Kielce?

Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated an Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 24%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Korona Kielce), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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