Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4-1 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
62%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+6.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.3pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zawisza Bydgoszcz EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 70%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.49/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.12
+48% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Wisla Krakow
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
07.03.2015 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-1 HT 0-1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz Zawisza Bydgoszcz POL
12.09.2014 Zawisza Bydgoszcz Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2-4 HT 0-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
01.06.2014 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2-1 HT 2-1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz Zawisza Bydgoszcz POL
21.03.2014 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Zawisza Bydgoszcz Zawisza Bydgoszcz POL
19.10.2013 Zawisza Bydgoszcz Zawisza Bydgoszcz 3-1 HT 0-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zawisza Bydgoszcz
4-1
AWAY Wisla Krakow
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Wisla Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zawisza Bydgoszcz cruised past Wisla Krakow 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wisla Krakow at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Zawisza Bydgoszcz had 41% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 59%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zawisza Bydgoszcz had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Zawisza Bydgoszcz and 1.40 for Wisla Krakow.

What was the final score of Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Wisla Krakow?

Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4-1 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Wisla Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zawisza Bydgoszcz 21%, draw 17%, Wisla Krakow 62%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wisla Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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