Melbourne Victory (K) 4-4 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Australia - W-League, 5 Jan 2025

Melbourne Victory (K) DWDWW→
4 - 4 HT 1 - 1
W. Sydney Wanderers (K) LLWDL→
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 05:19
Match Result
HomeVIEW
75%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.83
Away
10%
7.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.87
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
43%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Melbourne Victory (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Melbourne Victory (K) The Market 77%
Signal
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) The Market 14%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.56 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.65
0.95 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.20
Average Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Great
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
27 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1

Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
2W-2D-0L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.72 xG 0.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 297
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
02.12.2018 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Melbourne Victory (K) 4-4 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
4 - 4
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.12 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
316 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 10
REVIEW Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 4-4 draw left Melbourne Victory (K) and W. Sydney Wanderers (K) with a point apiece. Half-time: 1-1. A 8-goal game — the defences never settled.

This one beat our numbers. Melbourne Victory (K) carried 75% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (61%) came home.

Under the surface, Melbourne Victory (K) had 51% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 49%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.12 to 1.32.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melbourne Victory (K) and 0.75 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Result & Final Score

Melbourne Victory (K) 4 - 4 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 75%, draw 15%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 10%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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5 Jan 2025
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