Sydney (K) 1-1 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 5 Jan 2025

Sydney (K)
1-1 HT 1-0
Melbourne City (K)
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.76/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.72
-66% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +88%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
219 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 82%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.4 Crosses 10.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
235 Passes 349
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2024 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
08.12.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
31.01.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
02.11.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
18.02.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 1-1 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
1-1
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.53 xG 1.57
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
194 Passes 461
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) and Melbourne City (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 35% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 65%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.53 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.67 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Sydney (K) 1-1 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 23%, draw 27%, Melbourne City (K) 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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