Pyramids 2-1 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 5 Jan 2025

Pyramids
2-1 HT 0-0
ES Tunis
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2024/2025

Pyramids vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.1
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
14%
5.31
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
15%
14.45
X/1
18%
4.27
X/2
9%
7.82
X/X
12%
3.5
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
12%
6.78
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · 1/X at 14.45 — our 15% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pyramids v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Pyramids vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.13 xG 2.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
335 Passes 255
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
4 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.12.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 2-0 Pyramids Pyramids CAFŞL

Pyramids 2-1 ES Tunis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
2-1
AWAY ES Tunis
0.35 xG 0.98
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
339 Passes 188
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids edged past ES Tunis 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Pyramids made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pyramids had 61% of the ball to ES Tunis's 39%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.35 to 0.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs ES Tunis?

Pyramids 2-1 ES Tunis in the CAF Champions League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 40%, draw 32%, ES Tunis 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5
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