Al Hilal Omdurman 1-1 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.8
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
6.94
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.9
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
13%
4.88
X/2
13%
5.91
X/X
21%
3.07
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
5.1
2/X
4%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.1pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
1W-0D-0L
AWAY MC Alger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.80 xG 1.39
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 488
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 MC Alger MC Alger 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
1-1
AWAY MC Alger
0.53 xG 0.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
346 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 10
3 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Omdurman vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Omdurman and MC Alger shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Omdurman at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Al Hilal Omdurman had 53% of the ball to MC Alger's 47%, shots finished 10-3, expected goals 0.53 to 0.58.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Omdurman vs MC Alger?

Al Hilal Omdurman 1-1 MC Alger in the CAF Champions League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Omdurman vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Omdurman win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Omdurman 41%, draw 33%, MC Alger 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Hilal Omdurman), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Omdurman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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