MC Alger 0-1 Al Hilal Omdurman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
3.05
No
60%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
6.15
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
23.4
X/1
14%
3.18
X/2
8%
14.35
X/X
16%
3.93
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
6%
15.0
2/X
5%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
29%
+11.4pp
60%
BTTS No
71%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman EU Bookmakers 15%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
2.03/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.86
+32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 70%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
18.0 Crosses 5.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Alger
0-1
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman
1.39 xG 0.80
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
488 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs Al Hilal Omdurman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Omdurman nicked a narrow win over MC Alger 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was MC Alger at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MC Alger had 63% of the ball to Al Hilal Omdurman's 37%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.80 — on chances, MC Alger could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

MC Alger 0-1 Al Hilal Omdurman in the CAF Champions League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 53%, draw 28%, Al Hilal Omdurman 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MC Alger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MC Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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