Stade d Abidjan 1-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.15
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.11
6+ Goals
6%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.15
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
4%
17.7
X/1
11%
8.94
X/2
24%
3.75
X/X
20%
3.93
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
12%
2.46
2/X
6%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-11.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.4pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade d Abidjan EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 56%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-100% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
4.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade d Abidjan
1-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.74 xG 1.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
266 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade d Abidjan vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade d Abidjan and Orlando Pirates couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando Pirates at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Stade d Abidjan had 45% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 55%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.85.

What was the final score of Stade d Abidjan vs Orlando Pirates?

Stade d Abidjan 1-1 Orlando Pirates in the CAF Champions League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade d Abidjan vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stade d Abidjan 30%, draw 30%, Orlando Pirates 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orlando Pirates), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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