TP Mazembe 1-1 Young Africans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.48
Over 2.5
50%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.06
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.45
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.9
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
22%
4.35
X/2
9%
7.94
X/X
7%
3.38
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
12%
6.86
2/X
11%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
64%
-13.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
36%
+13.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TP Mazembe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Africans EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TP Mazembe
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Young Africans
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
268 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 TP Mazembe TP Mazembe 0-1 HT 0-0 Young Africans Young Africans CAFKK
19.02.2023 Young Africans Young Africans 3-1 HT 2-0 TP Mazembe TP Mazembe CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TP Mazembe
1-1
AWAY Young Africans
0.71 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
188 Passes 284
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TP Mazembe vs Young Africans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TP Mazembe and Young Africans couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was TP Mazembe at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, TP Mazembe had 43% of the ball to Young Africans's 57%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.71 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Young Africans led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for TP Mazembe and 2.00 for Young Africans.

What was the final score of TP Mazembe vs Young Africans?

TP Mazembe 1-1 Young Africans in the CAF Champions League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TP Mazembe vs Young Africans?

Before kick-off our model rated a TP Mazembe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split TP Mazembe 45%, draw 25%, Young Africans 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TP Mazembe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TP Mazembe) ✓ BTTS Yes
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