Estrela vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estrela v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Estrela vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Estrela 2-4 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril beat Estrela 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Estrela at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Estrela had 48% of the ball to Estoril's 52%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.92 to 2.28.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estrela and 1.00 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Estrela vs Estoril?
Estrela 2-4 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estrela vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estrela 43%, draw 28%, Estoril 29%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.