Bodrum FK 1-1 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 Jan 2025

Bodrum FK
1-1 HT 0-0
Kayserispor
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Bodrum FK vs Kayserispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
13%
4.62
X/2
9%
7.5
X/X
15%
4.34
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
9%
5.63
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bodrum FK v Kayserispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.30/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.53
+9% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.3 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Bodrum FK 1-1 Kayserispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
1-1
AWAY Kayserispor
0.75 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
245 Passes 232
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK and Kayserispor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bodrum FK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 50% of the ball to Kayserispor's 50%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.75 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Kayserispor?

Bodrum FK 1-1 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 48%, draw 28%, Kayserispor 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bodrum FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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