Fenerbahçe vs Hatayspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenerbahçe v Hatayspor — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Hatayspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-0
Hatayspor
TSL
4-0
HT 2-0
Hatayspor
TSL
2-0
HT 0-0
Hatayspor
TSL
1-2
HT 0-2
Fenerbahçe
TSL
1-2
HT 0-1
Fenerbahçe
TSL
Fenerbahçe 2-1 Hatayspor — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe squeezed past Hatayspor 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.
On the day, Fenerbahçe had 62% of the ball to Hatayspor's 38%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 4.03 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fenerbahçe's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.67 for Hatayspor.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Hatayspor?
Fenerbahçe 2-1 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Hatayspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 69%, draw 19%, Hatayspor 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.