Macarthur vs Auckland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macarthur v Auckland — Team-Based Signals
Macarthur vs Auckland Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Macarthur 1-1 Auckland — Actual Match Statistics
Macarthur and Auckland shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Auckland at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
On the day, Macarthur had 44% of the ball to Auckland's 56%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.81 to 1.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Auckland led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Macarthur and 1.50 for Auckland.
What was the final score of Macarthur vs Auckland?
Macarthur 1-1 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Auckland?
Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 32%, draw 20%, Auckland 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auckland), Over 2.5 went the other way.