Auckland vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auckland v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals
Auckland vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Auckland 2-1 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics
Auckland squeezed past Macarthur 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auckland as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Auckland had 53% of the ball to Macarthur's 47%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 3.35 to 1.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Auckland's control.
What was the final score of Auckland vs Macarthur?
Auckland 2-1 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auckland vs Macarthur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Auckland 41%, draw 30%, Macarthur 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.