Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.54
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.0
X/1
13%
5.79
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
9%
4.75
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
21%
3.9
2/X
7%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.65/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.70
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.6 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.43 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
372 Passes 359
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-2 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
27.04.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
02.03.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
25.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
22.04.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-3 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
21.12.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 3-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2-2
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.47 xG 1.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
445 Passes 413
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 51% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 49%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.47 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 0.67 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?

Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 37%, draw 22%, Newcastle Jets 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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