Newcastle Jets 1-2 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 22 Nov 2024

Newcastle Jets
1-2 HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 32% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.6
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
14%
6.38
X/2
10%
4.97
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.24
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.13/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.33
-22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +71%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
19.7 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.14 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
335 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
02.03.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
25.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
22.04.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-3 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
21.12.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 3-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
11.12.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS

Newcastle Jets 1-2 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets
1-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.74 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
499 Passes 365
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners squeezed past Newcastle Jets 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Central Coast Mariners found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newcastle Jets had 57% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 43%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.74 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Newcastle Jets and 2.33 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?

Newcastle Jets 1-2 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 32%, draw 31%, Central Coast Mariners 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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