Perth Glory vs Western United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Western United — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Western United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Western United
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Western United
AVUS
6-0
HT 4-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
Perth Glory 1-3 Western United — Actual Match Statistics
Western United got the better of Perth Glory 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Western United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Perth Glory had 33% of the ball to Western United's 67%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.11 to 2.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Perth Glory and 2.67 for Western United.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Western United?
Perth Glory 1-3 Western United in the Australia - A-League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Western United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 29%, draw 23%, Western United 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.