Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-3
Melbourne Victory
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
3-1
HT 1-0
Melbourne Victory
AVUS
Perth Glory 0-2 Melbourne Victory — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory beat Perth Glory 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne Victory as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Perth Glory had 43% of the ball to Melbourne Victory's 57%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.78 to 1.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Perth Glory and 2.00 for Melbourne Victory.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory?
Perth Glory 0-2 Melbourne Victory in the Australia - A-League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 27%, draw 23%, Melbourne Victory 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.