Melbourne Victory 2-0 Perth Glory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 8 Dec 2024

Melbourne Victory
2-0 HT 1-0
Perth Glory
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.8
2-3 Goals
32%
2.06
4-5 Goals
32%
2.65
6+ Goals
16%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1.56
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
8%
28.0
X/1
16%
4.03
X/2
2%
25.0
X/X
6%
10.35
2/1
4%
25.0
2/2
5%
18.35
2/X
3%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
73%
+0.4pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.5pp
10%
Away Win
10%
-0.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.83/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.17
-23% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -28%
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.3 Crosses 14.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
452 Passes 349
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
06.01.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-3 HT 1-1 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
04.10.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-4 HT 0-3 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory HAZ
09.04.2023 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
21.01.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 3-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
06.04.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS

Melbourne Victory 2-0 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory
2-0
AWAY Perth Glory
2.74 xG 0.06
69% Ball Possession 31%
25 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
599 Passes 218
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
45 Box Touches 1
19 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory got the better of Perth Glory 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne Victory as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne Victory had 69% of the ball to Perth Glory's 31%, shots finished 25-2, expected goals 2.74 to 0.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Melbourne Victory and 1.00 for Perth Glory.

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory?

Melbourne Victory 2-0 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory 74%, draw 17%, Perth Glory 10%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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