Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-3
Melbourne Victory
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
3-1
HT 1-0
Melbourne Victory
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Melbourne Victory
AVUS
0-3
HT 0-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
Melbourne Victory 2-1 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory squeezed past Perth Glory 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne Victory as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Melbourne Victory had 59% of the ball to Perth Glory's 41%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.33 to 1.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melbourne Victory and 1.33 for Perth Glory.
What was the final score of Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory?
Melbourne Victory 2-1 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory 53%, draw 19%, Perth Glory 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.