Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 5 Jan 2026

📅05/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.06
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.93 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
229 Passes 274
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
10.02.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
20.10.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
22.07.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
15.02.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
25.08.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-1
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon and Ghazl El Mehalla shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Mokawloon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 52% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 48%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Mokawloon and 0.67 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - League Cup on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 43%, draw 35%, Ghazl El Mehalla 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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