Al Masry 2-0 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 5 Jan 2026

📅05/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Smouha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.00 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
301 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
27.02.2025 Smouha Smouha 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
01.08.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
05.03.2024 Al Masry Al Masry 2-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
15.07.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
07.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
2-0
AWAY Smouha
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry beat Smouha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Masry had 49% of the ball to Smouha's 51%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Masry and 0.50 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Smouha?

Al Masry 2-0 Smouha in the Egypt - League Cup on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 41%, draw 31%, Smouha 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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