Vizela 0-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Jan 2026

📅05/01/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +21%
1.30/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.33
+23% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.3 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Torreense
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.75 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
293 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2025 Torreense Torreense 2-4 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR2
31.08.2024 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 0-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
0-1
AWAY Torreense
1.67 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
358 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense squeezed past Vizela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Vizela had 56% of the ball to Torreense's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.81 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vizela.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vizela and 2.00 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Torreense?

Vizela 0-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vizela 49%, draw 25%, Torreense 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vizela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
5 Jan 2026
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