Vizela 1-2 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.26/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.42
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.3 Crosses 20.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
1-2
AWAY Torreense
0.81 xG 1.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
328 Passes 235
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense nicked a narrow win over Vizela 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vizela had 57% of the ball to Torreense's 43%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Torreense?

Vizela 1-2 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vizela 48%, draw 26%, Torreense 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vizela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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