UD Oliveirense 0-1 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

UD Oliveirense
0-1 HT 0-1
Leixoes
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

UD Oliveirense vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UD Oliveirense v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.34/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.15
+5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.2 Crosses 18.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

UD Oliveirense vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leixoes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 287
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.05.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-3 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
12.01.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 0-2 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
21.01.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 1-2 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
19.11.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 2-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense PORLC
05.04.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
06.01.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2

UD Oliveirense 0-1 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
0-1
AWAY Leixoes
0.39 xG 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
292 Passes 220
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes nicked a narrow win over UD Oliveirense 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Leixoes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 58% of the ball to Leixoes's 42%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.39 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.33 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Leixoes?

UD Oliveirense 0-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 32%, draw 29%, Leixoes 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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