Benfica II 1-1 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Jan 2026

📅05/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.38 — our 25% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.65/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.39
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.1 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Porto II
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Porto II Porto II 1-4 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
06.01.2025 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 2-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
17.05.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 5-2 HT 3-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
14.01.2024 Porto II Porto II 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
22.01.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-2 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
13.05.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-3 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
1-1
AWAY Porto II
1.40 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II and Porto II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Benfica II had 49% of the ball to Porto II's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.40 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Benfica II and 1.33 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Porto II?

Benfica II 1-1 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 50%, draw 26%, Porto II 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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