Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.31/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.02
+0% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
02.08.2022 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto edged past Deportivo Madryn 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estudiantes Rio Cuarto as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto had 56% of the ball to Deportivo Madryn's 44%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Madryn?

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 41%, draw 33%, Deportivo Madryn 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
5 Feb 2024
01:00 San Martin San Juan vs Alvarado Analysis →
02:00 Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores De Belgrano Analysis →