Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
37%
Draw
29%
+7.3pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.38/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.83
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
16.08.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.04.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
20.08.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
09.02.2020 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
0-1
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano squeezed past Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 37% / 22% — and on the day Defensores De Belgrano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia Mendoza had 62% of the ball to Defensores De Belgrano's 38%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 0.75 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 41%, draw 37%, Defensores De Belgrano 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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