Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-0 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.55/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.45
+22% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1 HT 0-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
03.12.2023 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 0-3 HT 0-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2-0
AWAY Awassa Kenema
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank got the better of Awassa Kenema 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopia Nigd Bank as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 51% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 49%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ethiopia Nigd Bank and 0.50 for Awassa Kenema.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Awassa Kenema?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-0 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 42%, draw 31%, Awassa Kenema 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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