Cannes 5-3 Dives — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 5 Feb 2025

Cannes
5-3 HT 3-1
Dives
📅05/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.39
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.18
6+
10%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Cannes win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cannes The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dives The Market 15%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cannes
5-3
AWAY Dives
4.20 xG 1.70
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
540 Passes 173
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
43 Box Touches 21
42 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cannes vs Dives
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cannes got the better of Dives 5-3. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cannes as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cannes had 71% of the ball to Dives's 29%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 4.20 to 1.70.

What was the final score of Cannes vs Dives?

Cannes 5-3 Dives in the France - Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cannes vs Dives?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cannes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cannes 54%, draw 24%, Dives 22%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cannes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cannes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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