Stade Briochin 2-1 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.81
Away Pick
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.18
Over
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.96
2-3
40%
1.81
4-5
22%
2.87
6+
9%
8.68
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.96 — our 29% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Nice win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
17%
Home Win
11%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.4pp
61%
Away Win
71%
-9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Briochin The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice The Market 75%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
0.91/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.57/0.35
+143% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -9%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 85%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.6
17.0 Crosses 30.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Briochin
2-1
AWAY Nice
1.62 xG 1.28
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 11
209 Passes 401
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Briochin vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Briochin nicked a narrow win over Nice 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nice at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Briochin had 38% of the ball to Nice's 62%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.62 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Stade Briochin vs Nice?

Stade Briochin 2-1 Nice in the France - Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Briochin vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Stade Briochin 17%, draw 22%, Nice 61%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✗ BTTS No
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