Toulouse vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toulouse v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals
Toulouse vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toulouse 0-2 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp saw off Toulouse 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Toulouse at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Toulouse had 49% of the ball to Guingamp's 51%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.80 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Toulouse and 1.33 for Guingamp.
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Guingamp?
Toulouse 0-2 Guingamp in the France - Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Guingamp?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 53%, draw 25%, Guingamp 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Toulouse), Over 2.5 went the other way.