SuperSport United 0-3 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.16
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
14%
5.08
6+ Goals
6%
32.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.16 — our 44% vs market 37.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.9pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.91/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.88
-15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +55%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
196 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
18.9 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SuperSport United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 1.70
27% Ball Possession 73%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
136 Passes 512
63% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
12.03.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 HT 1-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
29.11.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-2 HT 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
16.01.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
02.09.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-1 HT 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
28.08.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SuperSport United
0-3
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.32 xG 1.27
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
225 Passes 526
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns cruised past SuperSport United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, SuperSport United had 33% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 67%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.32 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SuperSport United and 1.50 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

SuperSport United 0-3 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 25%, draw 30%, Mamelodi Sundowns 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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