ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.57
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
24%
3.06
6+
6%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC The Market 23%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.08 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
0.84 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Strong
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Punjab FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.69 xG 0.38
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
412 Passes 263
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-3 HT 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
06.04.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 0-1 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
23.09.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 2-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3 - 0
AWAY Punjab FC
1.55 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
339 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW ATK Mohun Bagan vs Punjab FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

ATK Mohun Bagan cruised past Punjab FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, ATK Mohun Bagan had 52% of the ball to Punjab FC's 48%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.55 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.67 for Punjab FC.

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Punjab FC Result & Final Score

ATK Mohun Bagan 3 - 0 Punjab FC in the India - Super League on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Punjab FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 60%, draw 23%, Punjab FC 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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