Banbury United 1-2 Rushall Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 35% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rushall Olympic EU Bookmakers 45%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
0.76/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-42% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -68%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banbury United
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rushall Olympic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic 1-1 HT 0-0 Banbury United Banbury United İCON
05.03.2022 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic 1-2 HT 1-1 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
09.11.2021 Banbury United Banbury United 1-0 HT 1-0 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banbury United
1-2
AWAY Rushall Olympic
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs Rushall Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rushall Olympic edged past Banbury United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rushall Olympic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banbury United had 48% of the ball to Rushall Olympic's 52%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Banbury United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Banbury United and 0.67 for Rushall Olympic.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs Rushall Olympic?

Banbury United 1-2 Rushall Olympic in the England - Conference on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs Rushall Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rushall Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 33%, draw 28%, Rushall Olympic 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rushall Olympic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rushall Olympic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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