Cheltenham Town 1-3 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2024

Cheltenham Town
1-3 HT 0-1
Charlton Athletic
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
5.06
X/2
9%
5.86
X/X
13%
4.01
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
18%
4.34
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cheltenham Town v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.48/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.28
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
306 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 64%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
15.9 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
233 Passes 331
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
07.05.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
02.12.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
15.01.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
11.09.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
09.08.2016 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNLK

Cheltenham Town 1-3 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
1-3
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.79 xG 2.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
234 Passes 249
59% Pass Accuracy 61%
39 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic saw off Cheltenham Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cheltenham Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 49% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 51%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.79 to 2.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.00 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Cheltenham Town 1-3 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 41%, draw 25%, Charlton Athletic 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cheltenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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